Middle East

April 9, 2024

Shock! Analysis Proves That Hamas is Faking All of Its Fake Casualty Figures – Ace of Spades HQ

It’s just not possible that nearly the exact same number of people are killed every single day, whether Israel’s tempo of battle is high or low.

This is just stupid Hamas propagandists literally just adding the same number every day. Well, the same number plus/minus 15%.

This kind of numerical evidence is a very powerful and very reliable tool. Fraudulent accounting is discovered all the time by such mathematical analysis.

Experts in forensic accounting know how much randomness and variation to expect in actually-random data. Most fraudsters do not.

The longer version:

How the Gaza Ministry of Health Fakes Casualty Numbers: The evidence is in their own poorly fabricated figures – Abraham Wyner (Tablet Magazine)

The first place to look is the reported “total” number of deaths. The graph of total deaths by date is increasing with almost metronomical linearity, as the graph in Figure 1 reveals.

This regularity is almost surely not real. One would expect quite a bit of variation day to day. In fact, the daily reported casualty count over this period averages 270 plus or minus about 15%. This is strikingly little variation. There should be days with twice the average or more and others with half or less. Perhaps what is happening is the Gaza ministry is releasing fake daily numbers that vary too little because they do not have a clear understanding of the behavior of naturally occurring numbers.